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What If Investment Advisers Managed Risk Like Physicians?

I have blogged extensively about why standard of care is an irresponsible measure of the threshold for determining negligence in medical care. Most recently, I blogged about it here and here. Imagine for a moment what capitalism would be like if your investment adviser was sued every time your investment value went down. Imagine what life would be like if they risked civil liability every time a bad outcome occurred. What if no laws were broken? What if an after the fact determination of negligence was based on a bad outcome?

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*This blog post was originally published at A Happy Hospitalist*

Absence Of Fetal Nasal Bone Is A Marker For Down Syndrome

Patient question about “Amniocentesis is Not Without Risk”:

I am 29 years old and am 21 weeks along. I just had an ultrasound a couple of days ago and was told that the nasal bone is not showing up which puts me at higher risk for a baby with Down Syndrome. I have yet to have someone tell me how much of an increased risk. I did not have the 1st trimester screenings as I’ve always said that it wouldn’t make any difference but now that it’s staring me in the face I am seriously considering an amniocentesis. I just wonder if I can go through the next 19 weeks wondering. Can you tell me what my risk is for a Down Syndrome baby? Thank you.

Previously we published a post that discussed the role of assessment of the fetal nasal bone in first trimester screening for fetal chromosomal abnormalities and, in particular, screening for Down syndrome (trisomy 21). Confirmed absence of the fetal nasal bone in first trimester has been correlated with a detection rate for Down syndrome in the range of 70% (with false positive rates dependent on maternal ethnicity – 2.2% in causcasians; 5% in Asians; and 9% in Afro-Carribeans) (Cicero, et al. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol. 2003;21:15–18; Prefumo, et al., BJOG 2004; 111:109–112). Although determining the presence or absence of the nasal bone can clearly contribute to the risk assessment in first trimester, unfortunately, the technical difficulty of reliably obtaining an image and accurately interpreting the findings have led to more restricted use here in the U.S., even at many major academic centers.

In contrast, in midtrimester genetic screening, often done at 18-20 weeks, the finding of an absent nasal bone and to a lesser degree a hypoplastic nasal bone, is becoming more widely recognized as a major ‘marker’ for trisomy 21. In midtrimester, complete absence of the fetal nasal bone occurs in about one-third of Down syndrome babies. If a ‘short’ nasal bone (nasal bone hypoplasia), is included in the evaluation, 60% or more fetuses with Down syndrome may be detected, again with false-positive rates depending on ethnicity and the variable cut-off values for defining a “short nasal bone” in different studies (Bromley; et al., J Ultrasound Med 2002; 21:1387–1394; Bunduki; et al., Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2003; 21:156–160; Lee, et al., J Ultrasound Med 2003; 22:55–60; Gamez, et al., Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2004; 23:152–153).

One small study using 3D ultrasound found an absent nasal bone in 9 of 26 babies with Down syndrome (34.6%) and only 1 of 27 (3.4%) chromosomally normal babies, but this also meant that 9 of the 10 (90%) babies in whom complete absence of the nasal bone was found had Down syndrome (Goncalves, et al., J Ultrasound Med 2004;23:1619-27). In a recent study of 4373 babies evaluated in midtrimester, complete absence of the nasal bone was found in about 30% of Down syndrome and only 1% of chromosomally normal fetuses . (Odibo; et al., Am J Obstet Gynecol 2008;199:281.e1-281.e5). Nasal bone hypoplasia, defined in this study as <0.75 MoM, identified 47% of Down syndrome pregnancies and occurred in 6% of normal pregnancies.

So, to our reader, I cannot give a precise estimate of increased risk based on the ultrasound findings you report. However, if the ultrasound was performed by an experienced examiner and adequate images were obtained for evaluation, the complete absence of a fetal nasal bone at 21 weeks, even as an isolated finding, is disconcerting. The risk for Down syndrome could be as high as 90% and the false positive rate 5% or less. And, if you really need to know whether or not your baby is affected, an amniocentesis would be the best way to get that information. Best wishes and please let us know what you find out.

Dr T

This post, Absence Of Fetal Nasal Bone Is A Marker For Down Syndrome, was originally published on Healthine.com by Kenneth Trofatter M.D., Ph.D..

Latest Interviews

Health Tips For Back-To-School

I was lucky enough to be asked by one of the local TV stations to talk about some back-to-school issues when it comes to health. I don t know about where you re at but most of the local schools around here started yesterday August rd Keeping up-to-date on immunizations…

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“Medical Self-Care” And The Doc Tom Interview

Next in our series of posts about our founder Doc Tom. Previous time capsules and Come ye economics buffs and algebra fans Get out your pencils and solve for x n and XX Whatever else the year XX is remembered for it will without a doubt go down in history…

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Latest Cartoon

cardiaccath

Here’s a cartoon I created a few years back. Enjoy!

- Dr. Val

*This blog post was originally published at Science-Based Medicine*

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Latest Book Reviews

A Biomedical Look At Spaceflight

Book review by Dan Buckland Dan Buckland is an editor at Medgadget and an MD PhD student at Harvard Med MIT whose thesis deals with diagnosing back injury in spaceflight using ultrasound. Mary Roach author of previous entertaining books Bonk a history of sex research and Stiff a history of…

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UTI and “Eat, Pray, Love”

I really didn t expect to like Eat Pray Love. In fact since its publication in I’d been avoiding it like the plague. Typical new-agey Oprah-y girly-book I thought. Nothing in it to speak to me. Then I saw the trailer for the movie and I was hooked probably because…

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Will Science Succeed With An Anti-Aging Revolution?

Wouldn’t it be great if we could find a way to prolong our lives and to keep us healthy right up to the end Ponce de León never found that Fountain of Youth but science is still looking. What are the chances science will succeed How’s it doing so far…

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